Sam Weiss

With the QQQ & SPY making new highs today, the rally is officially the 2nd longest rally on record and the third strongest compared to covid and the dot-com rally.

The fed this week is likely to market a major turning point for the market. Notice the last two longest rallies both ended THIS very week. The second longest ended today and the longest ended on Thursday.

SPY deeply overbought on the hourly. QQQ marginally overbought. Market probably peaks next week on high expected rate cut.

A lot of key things happening today. First, the QQQ made new highs today for the first time in 19-trading days. It’s very slight, but technically that extends the rally to 108 days. Nvidia and other Ai stocks up big on Oracle’s earnings regarding Ai server growth. But that will be short-lived.

Consolidation leg up is coming to an end. The market gearing up to begin another leg down. We’ll see if that kicks off the actual correction. We’re looking to reposition some of our near-term Nvidia positions.

As the market continues to consolidate, it becomes increasingly likely that we’re headed for a larger correction when all is said and done. 106 days in is a mere 9-sessions shy of the record duration rally.

Markets reverse off of overbought territory in the AM indicating that we’re in a clear-cut advanced consolidation now.

The never ending road to a market top continues as the rally has now extended to 104 days on the SPY. That’s 7-days shy of a 15-year record for high vol rallies.

The market is rebounding off of oversold territory as we outlined in yesterday’s session. Obviously, positive news out of Google helped fuel a part of that run. But the oversold bounce was inevitable. There are only two for the market to trade when it reaches deeply oversold territory.