Market was overbought and due for a pull-back. Here’s the pull-back on target as we outlined. The PCE numbers came in slightly hot, but the net impact was positive on CME indicating traders feel Sep rate cut was more likely after PCE.
As the rally reaches Day 100, the SPY/QQQ close in on overbought conditions. An early September start to the correction still looks likely.
Rally Day 100: Evidence SPY & QQQ on its Very Last Legs as it Nears Hourly Overbought Read Post »
Nvidia’s earnings is the last real catalyst before the fed meeting in mid-September. There’s a good chance we peak within the next 5-7 days regardless of how Nvidia’s earnings play out. Up/Down we still top soon.
The rally has now extended to week 21. This is a significant indication for a peak as week 20-22 is the most common place for market rallies to end. This includes consolidations.
Rally Extends to 21-Weeks Which is In-Line With Previous Topping Zones Read Post »
Nothing has changed from Friday or from most of last week. The market sustained a 4% pull-back, reached deeply oversold conditions and is on retest of the highs. Same as Nvidia.
Market & Nvidia Still on Retest of the Highs; September Correction Still Inevitable Read Post »
As we noted yesterday, the markets were deeply oversold and set-up to retest the highs. Powell indicating interest rate cuts at Jackson Hole is an easy excuse for the market to rally. But the impact will be short lived. Sep correction is as Inevitable as the Sunrise.
The QQQ hourly chart entered into deeply oversold territory yesterday and while we did see a rebound up to $566 to alleviate the pressure, it simply wasn’t enough. We discuss why.
Retest Looking Increasingly Likely Before Correction Goes into Full Flex Read Post »
The rally probably ended at Day 89 as it is looking increasingly likely that a correction is already underway. Worst case, the market undergoes one more retest and then it’s over. QQQ trades between $520 – $530 in September.
Rally Likely Over at Day 89; Correction or Complex Top Now in Play Read Post »
The 5th segmented officially ended today which skyrockets the probability of an imminent correction. We may have already started one or will soon see one after retest. The market is oversold on hourly right now. That can lead to a rebound.
Rally Day 93: 5th Segment Over at -2.3% from the Highs; Correction Risk Skyrockets Read Post »
QQQ has formed a short-term bullish consolidation and is gearing up for a short-term breakout run. But the QQQ is set-up to top out somewhere in the $580-$600 range and likely over the next 10-days.