Market pulling back a bit off of overbought conditions. Should see a second leg up after the pull-back ends. Nvidia is actually already nearing oversold conditions and is setting up for a big trade.
Rally Day 10: Market Pulling back off of Overbought Conditions Read Post »
Stocks are finally reaching overbought territory as the rebound off of the lows extends to 9-sessions now. It’s yet unclear whether we’ll see a second leg lower, though evidence strongly points in that direction.
Rally Day 9: Markets are Mildly Overbought But Still Have a Ways To go Read Post »
Runaway gap may be underway on the QQQ as the Dow, NASDAQ and S&P all open way above their respective lines of resistance. We need follow through and volume today.
Correction Day 24: NASDAQ-100 (QQQ) Gaps Up Well Above $485 Resistance Level Read Post »
With the QQQ pulling back toward the low $470’s yet again on a third major retest of the lows, it continues the process of consolidation. We see this at the bottom/lows of roughly 30-40% of past corrections. Will discuss today.
The NASDAQ-100 (QQQ) continues to test a critical breakout point at $485 which could lead to a huge surge to $500. Today marks the 6th day of the rebound from the lows.
Correction Day 22: QQQ $485 Major Line of Resistance; Breakout Leads Straight to $500 Read Post »
Fed days have a historical tendency to directly precede a trend shift in the market. This is particularly true after a few fed releases have occurred during the same trend. With the fed set to release its decision on interest rates today, it could mark the start of a snap-back rally.
Correction Day 21: History Suggests Fed Day Could Lead to an extended Rally in Market Read Post »
Market setting up to retest the lows ahead of the fed and likely bottoms this week.
Correction day 20: Retest of the Lows Ahead of the Fed Read Post »
The market continues to go through its bottoming process as the move off the lows isn’t remotely close to the size and scope of a real rebound just yet. However, market seems set-up to bottom & rally on the fed.
Correction Day 19: Market Continues Bottoming Process as it Reaches Last Monday’s Gap Read Post »
The March Briefing is a month-long daily blog covering topics related to the Samwise Long-Term Model Portfolios. It gets updated daily and will archive in April.
March 2025 Briefing: LT Model Portfolio Risk Assessment, Optimization & stress test Read Post »
Samwise Quick Reference Handbook To streamline our daily blogs and conserve space, we’ve organized key resources into a convenient, collapsible