Samwise Model Portfolios
The portfolios below are separated by launch dates. Each portfolio is entirely independent and has no bearing on any other model portfolio. We launch entirely new portfolios during each market correction as an illustrative tool for new subscribers who weren't present during...
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Time to launch a “White Walker” portfolio with QQQ puts given the expected pull back?
Seasons Greetings to all!
Weeks ago you mentioned it appears The FED has engineered a recession “soft landing” and I just wondered if this is a topic worthy of an indepth discussion in the near future? 4th quarter results are looming, setting the stage possibly for a major bear run into a full blown correction\recession commencing mid March. Would this community be served with a speculative look at the next 12 months?
Pease see the 11:00 AM update.
IWM has been pretty flat since the FOMC announcement. Do you think there’s any chance IWM gets back to the upper 220’s before the next leg down?
Can you post an NVIDIA update? Thanks!
Yes. Will post an update on that soon. Yesterday’s analysis still applies. Nvidia has its own resistance to deal with at $140 and likely struggles in that trading range.
Before correction to 120$ in january ?
In order for Nvidia to get down into the $120’s, it needs the market to sustain a full correction. That’s what the stock has shown us so far. That it’s not going down without the market taking a hit.
So you don’t think anymore that NVIDIA will go to 120$ in january ?
Well you said “before correction to 120$ in January.” I’m saying, it must have a correction to get to $120. That’s the point here.
Nvidia is not going to go there by itself without the market falling with it.
Hi Sam,
I’ve been really enjoying your posts and find them super insightful! I really like how you use empirical data to inform and back up your decisions. Do you use / recommend any services for retrieving / querying all this data (e.g. corrections durations, correction timing, movement trends based on indicators, etc.)? Are there any types of historical / statistical data or indicators you’ve found to be the most informative when determining when corrections are due? Thanks a ton and happy holidays!
I don’t use any services for the data. Though there are some out there that exist for certain indicators. Chapter 5 of Investing Basics discusses the indicators we use. Though Chapter 5 isn’t quite done yet. It’s still a work in progress. I expect to have Chapter 5 done fairly soon. Chapter 5.2 looks specifically at topping indicators while 5.3 looks at bottoming indicators.
Oh interesting. Have you built up all the spreadsheets and data points in your articles over time? Would love to hear if you have a mental framework on how you utilize this data to inform your investing decisions.